BAE U23 2-3 İran U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 9 Sep 2025

BAE U23
2-3
İran U23
📅09/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
AFC U23 Championship – 2026

BAE U23 vs İran U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.69
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
24%
-6.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.0pp
49%
Away Win
44%
+5.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.1pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BAE U23 v İran U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BAE U23 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY İran U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 84%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
27.1 Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards –

BAE U23 2-3 İran U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BAE U23
2-3
AWAY İran U23
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH BAE U23 vs İran U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İran U23 squeezed past BAE U23 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had İran U23 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BAE U23 had 43% of the ball to İran U23's 57%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of BAE U23 vs İran U23?

BAE U23 2-3 İran U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BAE U23 vs İran U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an İran U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split BAE U23 18%, draw 33%, İran U23 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İran U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İran U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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