Katar U23 2-1 Bahreyn U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katar U23 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahreyn U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.39/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/2.37
+18% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -76%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
4.0 Crosses 17.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katar U23
2-1
AWAY Bahreyn U23
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Katar U23 vs Bahreyn U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katar U23 squeezed past Bahreyn U23 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Katar U23 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Katar U23 had 50% of the ball to Bahreyn U23's 50%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Katar U23 vs Bahreyn U23?

Katar U23 2-1 Bahreyn U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katar U23 vs Bahreyn U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katar U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Katar U23 52%, draw 24%, Bahreyn U23 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katar U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katar U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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