09/09/2025
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Hrvace vs Jarun Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
29%
Draw
26%
30%
Away Win
29%
57%
Under 2.5
50%
43%
Over 2.5
50%
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
52%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hrvace v Jarun — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hrvace
EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Jarun
EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% /
-8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+17% /
+17%
0.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.85/0.57
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-16%
/
+94%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
340 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
229 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.7
Hrvace vs Jarun Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Hrvace
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Jarun
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
Hrvace 2-1 Jarun — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Hrvace
2-1
AWAY
Jarun
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
Hrvace vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hrvace nicked a narrow win over Jarun 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hrvace as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hrvace had 55% of the ball to Jarun's 45%, shots finished 13-11.
What was the final score of Hrvace vs Jarun?
Hrvace 2-1 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hrvace vs Jarun?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hrvace win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hrvace 41%, draw 29%, Jarun 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hrvace) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Hrvace)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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