Rio Ave U23 2-1 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.7pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.37/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/2.02
-13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Vizela U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-2 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 UŞGA
09.10.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 1-2 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
2-1
AWAY Vizela U23
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 nicked a narrow win over Vizela U23 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela U23 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 42% of the ball to Vizela U23's 58%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rio Ave U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rio Ave U23 and 1.50 for Vizela U23.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Vizela U23?

Rio Ave U23 2-1 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 33%, draw 21%, Vizela U23 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vizela U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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