Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Liverpool v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Everything in the data leans Liverpool's way at home, though favourites lose football matches every week.
Both teams have scored in just 1 of Liverpool's last 5 home league games.
Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Liverpool against 1.50 for Atletico Madrid.
Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Kick-off Time
Liverpool play Atletico Madrid in the Champions League on 09/09/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid is a Liverpool win at about 58% probability, priced 1.72 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Liverpool 58%, draw 24%, Atletico Madrid 18%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.