Valerenga (K) 0-1 Juventus (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.04
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.43
Over
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.56
No Pick
55%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
42%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+9.4pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.3pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-10.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.6pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga (K)
0-1
AWAY Juventus (K)
2.20 xG 0.96
58% Ball Possession 42%
25 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 2
269 Passes 195
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
49 Box Touches 31
28 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Valerenga (K) vs Juventus (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus (K) edged past Valerenga (K) 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Juventus (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Valerenga (K) had 58% of the ball to Juventus (K)'s 42%, shots finished 25-14, expected goals 2.20 to 0.96 — the balance of chances actually favoured Valerenga (K).

What was the final score of Valerenga (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Valerenga (K) 0-1 Juventus (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Valerenga (K) 31%, draw 22%, Juventus (K) 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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