BGC Asian Scholars (K) 0-3 Melbourne City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞLK, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
61%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Melbourne City (K) win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.2pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.1pp
61%
Away Win
76%
-14.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.7pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BGC Asian Scholars (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 483 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BGC Asian Scholars (K)
0-3
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BGC Asian Scholars (K) vs Melbourne City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City (K) cruised past BGC Asian Scholars (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne City (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, BGC Asian Scholars (K) had 35% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 65%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of BGC Asian Scholars (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

BGC Asian Scholars (K) 0-3 Melbourne City (K) in the AFCŞLK on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BGC Asian Scholars (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split BGC Asian Scholars (K) 17%, draw 22%, Melbourne City (K) 61%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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