İngiliz Virjin Adaları 1-3 Saint Kitts ve Nevis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.95
Draw
19%
5.15
Away Pick
61%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.43
Over
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Saint Kitts ve Nevis win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.3pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.8pp
61%
Away Win
74%
-13.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiliz Virjin Adaları EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint Kitts ve Nevis EU Bookmakers 78%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.60/3.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.49
+38% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -63%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 83%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
3.0 Crosses 7.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İngiliz Virjin Adaları
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Saint Kitts ve Nevis
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.09 xG 1.26
19% Ball Possession 81%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
71 Passes 534
56% Pass Accuracy 88%
5 Box Touches 15
6 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2024 Saint Kitts ve Nevis Saint Kitts ve Nevis 2-0 HT 1-0 İngiliz Virjin Adaları İngiliz Virjin Adaları CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiliz Virjin Adaları
1-3
AWAY Saint Kitts ve Nevis
0.35 xG 1.19
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 9
88 Passes 345
54% Pass Accuracy 82%
4 Box Touches 25
3 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İngiliz Virjin Adaları vs Saint Kitts ve Nevis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint Kitts ve Nevis got the better of İngiliz Virjin Adaları 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saint Kitts ve Nevis as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İngiliz Virjin Adaları had 28% of the ball to Saint Kitts ve Nevis's 72%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.35 to 1.19.

What was the final score of İngiliz Virjin Adaları vs Saint Kitts ve Nevis?

İngiliz Virjin Adaları 1-3 Saint Kitts ve Nevis in the CONCACAF Champions League on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiliz Virjin Adaları vs Saint Kitts ve Nevis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saint Kitts ve Nevis win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split İngiliz Virjin Adaları 20%, draw 19%, Saint Kitts ve Nevis 61%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint Kitts ve Nevis), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saint Kitts ve Nevis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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