Orleans 4-1 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 9 Oct 2024

Orleans
4-1 HT 2-1
Valenciennes
📅09/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2025/2026

Orleans vs Valenciennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.64
Over
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.62
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
20%
4.48
6+
8%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.8
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.45
X/1
10%
4.23
X/2
13%
7.12
X/X
13%
4.15
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
5.8
2/X
7%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-10.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orleans v Valenciennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orleans EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.10/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.67
-24% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +98%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.0

Orleans vs Valenciennes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orleans
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Valenciennes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
23.08.2024 Orleans Orleans 0-0 HT 1-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR3
POST-MATCH Orleans vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orleans swept aside Valenciennes 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Orleans made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Orleans vs Valenciennes?

Orleans 4-1 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orleans vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orleans win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Orleans 36%, draw 30%, Valenciennes 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orleans) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orleans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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