Sered 0-3 Zlate Moravce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - Cup, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
41%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.0
Over Pick
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
43%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+8.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-8.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sered EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zlate Moravce EU Bookmakers 54%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-100% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
243 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sered
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zlate Moravce
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
233 Passes 262
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2022 Sered Sered 2-1 HT 0-1 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK
16.10.2021 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 2-2 HT 1-1 Sered Sered SLVK
06.03.2021 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 1-0 HT 1-0 Sered Sered SLVK
24.10.2020 Sered Sered 1-2 HT 1-1 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK
11.07.2020 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 1-0 HT 1-0 Sered Sered SLVK
22.02.2020 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 1-3 HT 1-1 Sered Sered SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sered
0-3
AWAY Zlate Moravce
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sered vs Zlate Moravce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zlate Moravce cruised past Sered 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zlate Moravce as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sered had 40% of the ball to Zlate Moravce's 60%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zlate Moravce led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sered and 1.33 for Zlate Moravce.

What was the final score of Sered vs Zlate Moravce?

Sered 0-3 Zlate Moravce in the Slovakia - Cup on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sered vs Zlate Moravce?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zlate Moravce win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sered 34%, draw 25%, Zlate Moravce 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zlate Moravce), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zlate Moravce) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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