Adıyaman FK 5-0 Afyonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adıyaman FK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Afyonspor EU Bookmakers 51%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adıyaman FK
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Afyonspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.12.2023 Afyonspor Afyonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Adıyaman FK Adıyaman FK T2L-K
23.02.2022 Adıyaman FK Adıyaman FK 0-5 HT 0-1 Afyonspor Afyonspor S2-K
17.10.2021 Afyonspor Afyonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Adıyaman FK Adıyaman FK S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adıyaman FK
5-0
AWAY Afyonspor
18 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Adıyaman FK vs Afyonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adıyaman FK cruised past Afyonspor 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Adıyaman FK made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 18-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Afyonspor led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Adıyaman FK and 2.33 for Afyonspor.

What was the final score of Adıyaman FK vs Afyonspor?

Adıyaman FK 5-0 Afyonspor in the Turkey - Cup on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adıyaman FK vs Afyonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Afyonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Adıyaman FK 36%, draw 25%, Afyonspor 39%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Afyonspor), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afyonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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