Kavala vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kavala v Asteras Tripolis — Team-Based Signals
Kavala vs Asteras Tripolis Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
0-1
HT 0-0
Kavala
YUN
1-0
HT 0-0
Kavala
YUN
0-1
HT 0-1
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
Kavala 0-1 Asteras Tripolis — Actual Match Statistics
Asteras Tripolis edged past Kavala 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Asteras Tripolis as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
On the day, Kavala had 32% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 68%, shots finished 3-28.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kavala and 0.50 for Asteras Tripolis.
What was the final score of Kavala vs Asteras Tripolis?
Kavala 0-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Cup on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kavala vs Asteras Tripolis?
Before kick-off our model rated an Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kavala 25%, draw 23%, Asteras Tripolis 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.