Sri Lanka vs Türkmenistan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sri Lanka v Türkmenistan — Team-Based Signals
Sri Lanka vs Türkmenistan Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Sri Lanka 1-0 Türkmenistan — Actual Match Statistics
Sri Lanka squeezed past Türkmenistan 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Türkmenistan at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (55%) landed.
On the day, Türkmenistan saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 10-18.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Türkmenistan led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.00 a game for Sri Lanka against 2.00 for Türkmenistan.
Sri Lanka vs Türkmenistan Result & Final Score
Sri Lanka 1 - 0 Türkmenistan in the Asian Cup Qualifiers on 09/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sri Lanka vs Türkmenistan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Türkmenistan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sri Lanka 22%, draw 27%, Türkmenistan 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Türkmenistan) went the other way.