Mirassol FC 2-1 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 9 Oct 2025

Mirassol FC
2-1 HT 1-0
Fluminense
📅09/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Mirassol FC vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.52
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.1
1/2
10%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
15%
5.7
X/2
15%
5.65
X/X
15%
3.8
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
10%
4.04
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mirassol FC v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 38%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -21%
2.04/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.31
+132% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.1 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Mirassol FC 2-1 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
2-1
AWAY Fluminense
1.20 xG 0.88
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
253 Passes 342
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC nicked a narrow win over Fluminense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Mirassol FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 43% of the ball to Fluminense's 57%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.20 to 0.88.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Fluminense?

Mirassol FC 2-1 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 09/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 38%, draw 27%, Fluminense 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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