Gualaceo 0-6 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 9 Oct 2025

Gualaceo
0-6
Independiente Del Valle
📅09/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Cup – 2026

Gualaceo vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.0pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
53%
Away Win
53%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.5pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gualaceo v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualaceo EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +10%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
200 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Gualaceo vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gualaceo
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.61 xG 1.23
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
188 Passes 524
72% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 2-0 Gualaceo Gualaceo EKV1
07.05.2023 Gualaceo Gualaceo 1-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
13.08.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 1-0 Gualaceo Gualaceo EKV1
03.04.2022 Gualaceo Gualaceo 1-3 HT 0-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
POST-MATCH Gualaceo vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle cruised past Gualaceo 6-0 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gualaceo and 2.25 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Gualaceo vs Independiente Del Valle?

Gualaceo 0-6 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Cup on 09/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualaceo vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gualaceo 26%, draw 21%, Independiente Del Valle 53%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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