USM Oujda 1-0 Youssoufia Berrechid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
25%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.2pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Youssoufia Berrechid EU Bookmakers 34%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.40/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.49
+30% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Oujda
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Youssoufia Berrechid
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.04.2023 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid 2-1 HT 0-0 USM Oujda FAS2
30.10.2022 USM Oujda 0-0 HT 0-0 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid FAS2
POST-MATCH USM Oujda vs Youssoufia Berrechid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Oujda nicked a narrow win over Youssoufia Berrechid 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 34% / 29% — and on the day USM Oujda made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Youssoufia Berrechid led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for USM Oujda and 1.00 for Youssoufia Berrechid.

What was the final score of USM Oujda vs Youssoufia Berrechid?

USM Oujda 1-0 Youssoufia Berrechid in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Oujda vs Youssoufia Berrechid?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split USM Oujda 37%, draw 34%, Youssoufia Berrechid 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Oujda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Oujda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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FAS2 More Morocco - Botola 2
9 Nov 2024
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