Baroka 3-1 Leruma United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

Baroka
3-1 HT 1-0
Leruma United
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Afrika - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Baroka vs Leruma United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+9.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baroka v Leruma United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Leruma United EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Baroka 3-1 Leruma United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baroka
3-1
AWAY Leruma United
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baroka vs Leruma United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baroka saw off Leruma United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Baroka as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Baroka had 56% of the ball to Leruma United's 44%, shots finished 14-16.

What was the final score of Baroka vs Leruma United?

Baroka 3-1 Leruma United in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs Leruma United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Baroka 44%, draw 26%, Leruma United 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baroka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baroka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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