Lee Man 3-1 Kowloon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.98
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.1pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.7pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-15.5pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lee Man EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lee Man
3-1
AWAY Kowloon City
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 11
15 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lee Man vs Kowloon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man saw off Kowloon City 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lee Man had 60% of the ball to Kowloon City's 40%, shots finished 24-11.

What was the final score of Lee Man vs Kowloon City?

Lee Man 3-1 Kowloon City in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lee Man vs Kowloon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 55%, draw 23%, Kowloon City 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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9 Nov 2024
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