Nafta 0-1 NK Bravo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 54%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.32/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.97
+128% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
227 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY NK Bravo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
23 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-0 HT 1-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
0-1
AWAY NK Bravo
53% Ball Possession 47%
2 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nafta vs NK Bravo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Bravo squeezed past Nafta 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had NK Bravo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nafta had 53% of the ball to NK Bravo's 47%, shots finished 2-7.

What was the final score of Nafta vs NK Bravo?

Nafta 0-1 NK Bravo in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs NK Bravo?

Before kick-off our model rated an NK Bravo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nafta 27%, draw 27%, NK Bravo 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Bravo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NK Bravo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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