Çorum FK 1-0 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
11%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 28% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.28
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
10%
4.96
X/2
12%
6.15
X/X
15%
4.37
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.43
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.92/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.11
-15% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
27.4 Crosses 15.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Pendikspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
08.02.2020 Pendikspor Pendikspor 3-2 HT 2-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK S2-B
29.09.2019 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-2 HT 0-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
1-0
AWAY Pendikspor
0.83 xG 0.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
334 Passes 391
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK nicked a narrow win over Pendikspor 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Çorum FK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Çorum FK had 46% of the ball to Pendikspor's 54%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.83 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pendikspor led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Çorum FK and 2.50 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Pendikspor?

Çorum FK 1-0 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 38%, draw 28%, Pendikspor 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çorum FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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