Kepezspor FAŞ 1-3 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
37%
3.18
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.2pp
37%
Draw
28%
+9.0pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kepezspor FAŞ EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kepezspor FAŞ
1-3
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Kepezspor FAŞ vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor beat Kepezspor FAŞ 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (27% / 37% / 36%) promised a tight game; GMG Kastamonuspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kepezspor FAŞ had 47% of the ball to GMG Kastamonuspor's 53%, shots finished 6-14.

What was the final score of Kepezspor FAŞ vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Kepezspor FAŞ 1-3 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kepezspor FAŞ vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kepezspor FAŞ 27%, draw 37%, GMG Kastamonuspor 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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