AS Ariana 1-0 Msaken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 9 Nov 2024

AS Ariana
1-0
Msaken
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2025/2026

AS Ariana vs Msaken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.45
Over 2.5
27%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+8.9pp
73%
Under 2.5
65%
+7.7pp
27%
Over 2.5
35%
-7.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.5pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AS Ariana v Msaken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Msaken EU Bookmakers 25%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.52
+133% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +135%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs Msaken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Ariana edged past Msaken 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; AS Ariana found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs Msaken?

AS Ariana 1-0 Msaken in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs Msaken?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 39%, draw 30%, Msaken 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Ariana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AS Ariana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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