Sporting CP U23 1-0 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.9
No
42%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
15%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.9pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.9pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.1pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 19%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.42/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/4.03
+1% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -55%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
1-0
AWAY Santa Clara U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 squeezed past Santa Clara U23 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP U23 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 56% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 44%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Sporting CP U23 1-0 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 49%, draw 30%, Santa Clara U23 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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