Maroons 2-1 URA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

Maroons
2-1 HT 1-0
URA
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maroons EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY URA EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +123% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maroons
0W-1D-0L
AWAY URA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.10.2023 Maroons Maroons 1-1 URA URA UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maroons
2-1
AWAY URA
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maroons vs URA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maroons squeezed past URA 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Maroons made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maroons had 52% of the ball to URA's 48%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of Maroons vs URA?

Maroons 2-1 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maroons vs URA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maroons win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Maroons 37%, draw 29%, URA 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maroons) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maroons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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