Oleksandria 3-0 Karpaty Lviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.56
Over 2.5
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-10.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+10.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.67/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.21
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oleksandria
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
04.03.2020 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-4 HT 0-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
06.10.2019 Oleksandria Oleksandria 2-1 HT 0-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
21.10.2018 Oleksandria Oleksandria 2-1 HT 2-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
22.07.2018 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-2 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
28.04.2018 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-2 HT 1-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
18.03.2018 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-1 HT 0-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
POST-MATCH Oleksandria vs Karpaty Lviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria swept aside Karpaty Lviv 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Oleksandria as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oleksandria had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Oleksandria and 0.67 for Karpaty Lviv.

What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Karpaty Lviv?

Oleksandria 3-0 Karpaty Lviv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Karpaty Lviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oleksandria win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 46%, draw 28%, Karpaty Lviv 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oleksandria) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oleksandria) ✗ BTTS Yes
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