Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0 Cong An Nhan Dan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan EU Bookmakers 57%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.63/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.15
-41% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -16%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
27% Ball Possession 73%
3 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.06.2024 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 5-0 HT 1-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
25.11.2023 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 2-1 HT 1-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİETK
28.10.2023 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 0-3 HT 0-1 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
POST-MATCH Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Cong An Nhan Dan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoang Anh Gia Lai squeezed past Cong An Nhan Dan 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cong An Nhan Dan at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cong An Nhan Dan led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Hoang Anh Gia Lai and 3.33 for Cong An Nhan Dan.

What was the final score of Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Cong An Nhan Dan?

Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0 Cong An Nhan Dan in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Cong An Nhan Dan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cong An Nhan Dan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hoang Anh Gia Lai 28%, draw 25%, Cong An Nhan Dan 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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