Navalcarnero 1-0 Socuellamos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Socuellamos EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.34/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.27
+2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Navalcarnero
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Socuellamos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
12.02.2023 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-3 HT 1-2 Socuellamos Socuellamos İS4
25.09.2022 Socuellamos Socuellamos 0-1 HT 0-1 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Navalcarnero
1-0
AWAY Socuellamos
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Navalcarnero vs Socuellamos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero edged past Socuellamos 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Navalcarnero as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Navalcarnero had 55% of the ball to Socuellamos's 45%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Navalcarnero and 1.50 for Socuellamos.

What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Socuellamos?

Navalcarnero 1-0 Socuellamos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Socuellamos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 46%, draw 28%, Socuellamos 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Navalcarnero), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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