Cesena vs Avellino Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cesena v Avellino — Team-Based Signals
Cesena vs Avellino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Cesena
İTB
3-1
HT 2-0
Avellino
İTB
1-1
HT 1-1
Cesena
İTB
3-0
HT 1-0
Avellino
İTB
1-2
HT 1-1
Cesena
İTB
1-2
HT 1-0
Avellino
İTB
Cesena 3-0 Avellino — Actual Match Statistics
Cesena ran out comfortable winners over Avellino 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cesena as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.
On the day, Cesena had 36% of the ball to Avellino's 64%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.85 to 1.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cesena and 1.00 for Avellino.
What was the final score of Cesena vs Avellino?
Cesena 3-0 Avellino in the Italy - Serie B on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cesena vs Avellino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cesena 48%, draw 25%, Avellino 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.