Madura United 2-1 Persijap Jepara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Persijap Jepara EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.39/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.00
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madura United
2-1
AWAY Persijap Jepara
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Madura United vs Persijap Jepara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United nicked a narrow win over Persijap Jepara 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Madura United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Madura United had 63% of the ball to Persijap Jepara's 37%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Madura United vs Persijap Jepara?

Madura United 2-1 Persijap Jepara in the Indonesia League 1 on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs Persijap Jepara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Madura United 42%, draw 27%, Persijap Jepara 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madura United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Madura United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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