Baroka 1-2 Lerumo Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2025

Baroka
1-2 HT 0-1
Lerumo Lions
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Afrika - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Baroka vs Lerumo Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.6pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baroka v Lerumo Lions — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lerumo Lions EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.63/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.00
+43% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards –

Baroka 1-2 Lerumo Lions — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baroka
1-2
AWAY Lerumo Lions
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baroka vs Lerumo Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lerumo Lions edged past Baroka 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Baroka at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Baroka had 62% of the ball to Lerumo Lions's 38%, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of Baroka vs Lerumo Lions?

Baroka 1-2 Lerumo Lions in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs Lerumo Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Baroka 42%, draw 25%, Lerumo Lions 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Baroka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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