Marathon vs Platense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v Platense — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs Platense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Marathon
HON
1-0
HT 0-0
Platense
HON
1-1
HT 0-1
Platense
HON
3-1
HT 0-1
Marathon
HON
1-0
HT 1-0
Platense
HON
Marathon squeezed past Platense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Marathon and 1.00 for Platense.
What was the final score of Marathon vs Platense?
Marathon 1-0 Platense in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs Platense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Marathon 59%, draw 25%, Platense 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.