Al Arabi 1-0 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
7.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.81/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.79
+31% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
15.5 Crosses 12.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.82 xG 2.19
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
452 Passes 308
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Al Arabi Al Arabi 4-2 HT 3-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
22.09.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 3-3 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
30.08.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
16.03.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
11.11.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-6 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
29.10.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-3 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi edged past Al Ahli 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Arabi as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Arabi and 2.50 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Ahli?

Al Arabi 1-0 Al Ahli in the Qatar League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 48%, draw 22%, Al Ahli 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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