Al Nasar 2-1 Al Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒17:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.78
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
70%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.97
Over 2.5
60%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.19
No
46%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.26
6+ Goals
12%
11.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.26 — our 27% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
28%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
10%
+2.4pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.8pp
70%
Away Win
71%
-0.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
47%
-6.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
53%
+6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.6pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 75%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.15/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/0.65
+21% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +59%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
220 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasar
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Arabi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2025 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
06.01.2025 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
07.05.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
13.03.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
17.02.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 6-3 HT 3-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
02.11.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 3-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
POST-MATCH Al Nasar vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasar squeezed past Al Arabi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Arabi at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Nasar and 3.17 for Al Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Nasar vs Al Arabi?

Al Nasar 2-1 Al Arabi in the Kuwait - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasar vs Al Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Al Nasar 13%, draw 17%, Al Arabi 70%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Arabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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