Tarpa 3-1 Tiszaujvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.07
Over 2.5
61%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-2.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tarpa EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiszaujvaros EU Bookmakers 25%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
4.02/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+113% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
435 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tarpa vs Tiszaujvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tarpa saw off Tiszaujvaros 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tarpa as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Tarpa vs Tiszaujvaros?

Tarpa 3-1 Tiszaujvaros in the Hungary - NB III on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tarpa vs Tiszaujvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tarpa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tarpa 55%, draw 25%, Tiszaujvaros 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tarpa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tarpa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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