Nazilli Belediyespor 2-3 Alanya Kestelspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.84
Draw
17%
3.64
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
No
64%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
31%
+17.4pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.1pp
34%
Away Win
45%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor EU Bookmakers 49%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.46
-100% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
345 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Nazilli Belediyespor vs Alanya Kestelspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanya Kestelspor edged past Nazilli Belediyespor 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nazilli Belediyespor at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Nazilli Belediyespor vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Nazilli Belediyespor 2-3 Alanya Kestelspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nazilli Belediyespor vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nazilli Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nazilli Belediyespor 49%, draw 18%, Alanya Kestelspor 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nazilli Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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