Shakhtar Donetsk 7-1 SK Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.11
Draw
12%
8.78
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
59%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
2%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
85%
-2.8pp
12%
Draw
8%
+3.4pp
6%
Away Win
6%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.2pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY SK Poltava EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.43/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.01
+12% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +4%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
7-1
AWAY SK Poltava
67% Ball Possession 33%
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs SK Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk cruised past SK Poltava 7-1. Half-time: 2-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shakhtar Donetsk had 67% of the ball to SK Poltava's 33%.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs SK Poltava?

Shakhtar Donetsk 7-1 SK Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs SK Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 82%, draw 12%, SK Poltava 6%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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