PSS Sleman 1-2 Persib Bandung — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.9
Over
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
39%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSS Sleman EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Persib Bandung EU Bookmakers 57%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.40/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.81
+24% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
261 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSS Sleman
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Persib Bandung
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
310 Passes 240
05.02.2023 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 2-0 HT 2-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
19.08.2022 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 0-1 HT 0-1 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
11.02.2022 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 1-2 HT 1-2 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
22.10.2021 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 4-2 HT 0-1 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
15.03.2020 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 2-1 HT 2-1 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
07.12.2019 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 0-0 HT 0-0 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSS Sleman
1-2
AWAY Persib Bandung
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSS Sleman vs Persib Bandung
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persib Bandung edged past PSS Sleman 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Persib Bandung as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, PSS Sleman had 42% of the ball to Persib Bandung's 58%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persib Bandung led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for PSS Sleman and 1.83 for Persib Bandung.

What was the final score of PSS Sleman vs Persib Bandung?

PSS Sleman 1-2 Persib Bandung in the Indonesia League 1 on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSS Sleman vs Persib Bandung?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persib Bandung win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split PSS Sleman 22%, draw 30%, Persib Bandung 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persib Bandung), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persib Bandung) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →