Metz 2-0 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.35
X/1
19%
4.03
X/2
12%
7.82
X/X
12%
4.55
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
11%
6.43
2/X
9%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metz EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.56/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.26
+15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
16.6 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metz
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dunkerque
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 8
07.01.2018 Dunkerque Dunkerque 2-4 HT 0-1 Metz Metz FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metz
2-0
AWAY Dunkerque
2.02 xG 0.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
288 Passes 405
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Metz vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz saw off Dunkerque 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Metz as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Metz had 43% of the ball to Dunkerque's 57%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.02 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Metz vs Dunkerque?

Metz 2-0 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metz vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Metz 45%, draw 28%, Dunkerque 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Metz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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