Hermannstadt 1-0 Otelul Galati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.8
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.6pp
31%
Draw
33%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Otelul Galati EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
0.56/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.29
-29% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
25.5 Crosses 14.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermannstadt
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Otelul Galati
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.27 xG 1.01
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.08.2024 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-0 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
28.04.2024 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-0 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
02.03.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 4-1 HT 2-1 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
28.10.2023 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-1 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermannstadt
1-0
AWAY Otelul Galati
2.95 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
273 Passes 304
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hermannstadt vs Otelul Galati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermannstadt squeezed past Otelul Galati 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Hermannstadt made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Hermannstadt had 47% of the ball to Otelul Galati's 53%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.95 to 1.06 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hermannstadt's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Otelul Galati led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Hermannstadt and 1.00 for Otelul Galati.

What was the final score of Hermannstadt vs Otelul Galati?

Hermannstadt 1-0 Otelul Galati in the Romania - 1st Division on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermannstadt vs Otelul Galati?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hermannstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hermannstadt 35%, draw 31%, Otelul Galati 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/31/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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