Al Jabalain 1-0 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jabalain EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.11/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.60
-1% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jabalain
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Najma
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 0
24.04.2024 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
05.12.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jabalain
1-0
AWAY Al Najma
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Al Jabalain vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jabalain edged past Al Najma 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Al Jabalain found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Jabalain had 39% of the ball to Al Najma's 61%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Najma led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Al Jabalain and 2.50 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Al Jabalain vs Al Najma?

Al Jabalain 1-0 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jabalain vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Jabalain 31%, draw 30%, Al Najma 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Najma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Najma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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