Kallithea 2-4 Levadiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 9 Dec 2024

Kallithea
2-4 HT 1-0
Levadiakos
📅09/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Kallithea vs Levadiakos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.59
Over 2.5
51%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
4.55
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.41
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
15%
4.88
X/2
9%
6.32
X/X
11%
3.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
32.5
2/2
19%
4.95
2/X
6%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.5 — our 9% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.6pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kallithea v Levadiakos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kallithea EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 32%
-32% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.73/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.43
-22% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
22.6 Crosses 14.1
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.4

Kallithea vs Levadiakos Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kallithea
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Levadiakos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.06 xG 0.35
41% Ball Possession 59%
2 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
142 Passes 267
56% Pass Accuracy 71%
7 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.08.2024 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
04.03.2006 Kallithea Kallithea 3-2 HT 1-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
23.10.2005 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-0 HT 1-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN

Kallithea 2-4 Levadiakos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kallithea
2-4
AWAY Levadiakos
0.67 xG 2.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
263 Passes 332
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Kallithea vs Levadiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levadiakos saw off Kallithea 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kallithea at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kallithea had 47% of the ball to Levadiakos's 53%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.67 to 2.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kallithea and 1.00 for Levadiakos.

What was the final score of Kallithea vs Levadiakos?

Kallithea 2-4 Levadiakos in the Greece - Super League on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kallithea vs Levadiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kallithea win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kallithea 43%, draw 24%, Levadiakos 33%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kallithea) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kallithea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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