Liverpool vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Fulham — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 2-2
Fulham
İNP
1-0
HT 1-0
Fulham
İNP
2-2
HT 1-0
Liverpool
İNP
0-1
HT 0-1
Fulham
İNP
1-1
HT 1-0
Liverpool
İNP
1-2
HT 0-1
Liverpool
İNP
Liverpool 2-1 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool nicked a narrow win over Fulham 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Liverpool had 67% of the ball to Fulham's 33%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.77 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Liverpool's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Liverpool and 1.33 for Fulham.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Fulham?
Liverpool 2-1 Fulham in the England - League Cup on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Fulham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 50%, draw 26%, Fulham 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.