Barbastro 1-0 Gernika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
24%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.7pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.8pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barbastro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gernika EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barbastro
1-0
AWAY Gernika
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barbastro vs Gernika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barbastro nicked a narrow win over Gernika 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 35% / 29% — and on the day Barbastro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Barbastro had 50% of the ball to Gernika's 50%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Barbastro vs Gernika?

Barbastro 1-0 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barbastro vs Gernika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barbastro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 37%, draw 35%, Gernika 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barbastro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barbastro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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