Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-1 Maccabi Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 26% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
0-1
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
1.68 xG 1.55
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
514 Passes 249
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Haifa nicked a narrow win over Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Maccabi Tel Aviv at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv had 64% of the ball to Maccabi Haifa's 36%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.68 to 1.55.

What was the final score of Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?

Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-1 Maccabi Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Tel Aviv 42%, draw 28%, Maccabi Haifa 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✓ Under 2.5
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