Real Madrid 3-3 Atletico Madrid — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Spain - Super Cup, 10 Jan 2024

Real Madrid Elo 2066 · World #6 (clubs) WW→
3 - 3 HT 2 - 2 AET 5-3
Atletico Madrid Elo 1997 · World #14 (clubs) LW→
📅10/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Spain - Super Cup – 2023/2024

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.06
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.89
Over
50%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.38
2-3
47%
1.79
4-5
22%
3.53
6+
5%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.89
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
16%
4.67
X/2
11%
6.78
X/X
17%
4.63
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
15%
4.88
2/X
5%
13.35
PICK this match carries Gold / Silver / Bronze pattern picks — free account to see which outcomes.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Real Madrid The Market 49%
Signal
AWAY Atletico Madrid The Market 32%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.41 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.84
1.54 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.71
Bad Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength –
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
37 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27
28 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 5

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 1.35
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
591 Passes 389
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-1 HT 2-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
25.02.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
26.01.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İSPK
18.09.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-2 HT 0-2 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
08.05.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
12.12.2021 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1

Real Madrid 3-3 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid
3 - 3
AWAY Atletico Madrid
3.10 xG 0.63
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 4
829 Passes 622
91% Pass Accuracy 89%
55 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 3-3 draw left Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid with a point apiece. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We leaned Real Madrid at 44% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 56% to 44% in Real Madrid's favour, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 3.10 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Real Madrid against 1.17 for Atletico Madrid.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Result & Final Score

Real Madrid 3 - 3 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Super Cup on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 44%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ BTTS Yes
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