Fiorentina U19 4-2 Milan U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup Primavera, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-6.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U19 EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan U19 EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina U19
4-2
AWAY Milan U19
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U19 vs Milan U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U19 saw off Milan U19 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Milan U19 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fiorentina U19 had 48% of the ball to Milan U19's 52%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U19 vs Milan U19?

Fiorentina U19 4-2 Milan U19 in the Italy - Cup Primavera on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U19 vs Milan U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milan U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U19 23%, draw 28%, Milan U19 48%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Milan U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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