10/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
San Luca vs Locri 1909 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
No Pick
68%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
43%
4-5
15%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 68% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
46%
28%
Draw
27%
27%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Luca v Locri 1909 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
San Luca
The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Locri 1909
The Market 30%
+45% /
+45%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-18%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
308 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
312 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
San Luca vs Locri 1909
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
San Luca and Locri 1909 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was San Luca at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.
What was the final score of San Luca vs Locri 1909?
San Luca 1-1 Locri 1909 in the Italy - Serie D on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Luca vs Locri 1909?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Luca win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split San Luca 45%, draw 28%, Locri 1909 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Luca), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (San Luca)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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