ASFB 1-0 KOZAF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division, 10 Jan 2024

ASFB
1-0 HT 0-0
KOZAF
📅10/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over Pick
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
41%
4-5
26%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
60%
-14.6pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.6pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASFB The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY KOZAF The Market 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH ASFB vs KOZAF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASFB squeezed past KOZAF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ASFB as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of ASFB vs KOZAF?

ASFB 1-0 KOZAF in the Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASFB vs KOZAF?

Before kick-off our model rated a ASFB win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ASFB 45%, draw 31%, KOZAF 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ASFB) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ASFB) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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