Guingamp (K) 0-1 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.21
Over 2.5
42%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.6
No
56%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-9.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
41%
+16.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
59%
-16.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.4pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp (K)
0-1
AWAY Montpellier (K)
0.73 xG 0.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
230 Passes 384
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guingamp (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier (K) squeezed past Guingamp (K) 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Montpellier (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Guingamp (K) had 40% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 60%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.73 to 0.88.

What was the final score of Guingamp (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Guingamp (K) 0-1 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guingamp (K) 31%, draw 24%, Montpellier (K) 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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