NorthEast United 1-2 Jamshedpur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 10 Jan 2024

NorthEast United
1-2 HT 1-0
Jamshedpur
📅10/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
India - Super Cup – 2024

NorthEast United vs Jamshedpur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.56
No
56%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.93
2-3 Goals
33%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
9.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 33% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.9pp
56%
BTTS No
40%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NorthEast United v Jamshedpur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

NorthEast United vs Jamshedpur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NorthEast United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Jamshedpur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.20 xG 1.55
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
295 Passes 248
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-1 HT 0-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
04.02.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 0-2 HT 0-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
30.10.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-0 HT 1-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
25.02.2022 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-3 HT 0-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
06.01.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 3-2 HT 1-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
17.01.2021 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-2 HT 0-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
POST-MATCH NorthEast United vs Jamshedpur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamshedpur squeezed past NorthEast United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Jamshedpur made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jamshedpur led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NorthEast United and 1.83 for Jamshedpur.

What was the final score of NorthEast United vs Jamshedpur?

NorthEast United 1-2 Jamshedpur in the India - Super Cup on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NorthEast United vs Jamshedpur?

Before kick-off our model rated a NorthEast United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split NorthEast United 40%, draw 23%, Jamshedpur 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (NorthEast United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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